Tuesday, June 16, 2015

Indian Rupee

In my previous post on INR written on 14th January 2015, I wrote, “INR is forming a large inverse head and shoulder pattern on charts. If this pattern has to come true than INR will fall/consolidate between 60 -64 levels for next few months before breaking out above the neckline and proceeding towards 70 levels.”  

I was expecting INR to consolidate between the ranges of 60 – 64 for few months. INR took almost 6 months to consolidate at these levels and is now ready for a breakout.

If we look at the given chart INR has completed the right shoulder formation and its highly likely that INR will move to 70 levels in next few months.


Chart of INR as pasted on 14th Jan 2015





Chart of INR as on 16th June 2015.


Summary:-
1.      Any break out in INR above 64.50 levels on weekly closing basis will see a rapid up move towards 70
2.      If INR breaks 70 the next target can be as high as 75 – 78.

3.      The probability of INR falling sharply over next 6 months is very high. 

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