Thursday, January 3, 2013

Tech Musings - Oil and Gas (India)



Indian Oil and Gas sector has almost been on the verge of bankruptcy due to foolhardy polices of government. This sector has been reeling under massive under recovery since 2003-2004. It’s anybody’s guess what kind of public transport system could have been created with the money which is wasted into subsidy, and would permanently reduce the demand of oil for transport. Oil and gas sector is India may also be a classic case for value investing as this sector has now been neglected for too far and for too long.

If we look at the charts I think something is brewing up in oil and gas sector. It is quite entirely possible this sector may see a break of a new uptrend in current year. Even if that doesn’t happen I think this sector is comfortably poised for a 20% – 30% upmove from current prices.

The first chart is the price chart of HPCL which is trading at 298 and target will be around 350 with a stop loss of 280







Second chart is of ONGC, stock is trading at 274 target will be around 300 – 315 with stop loss of 250
 







Third chart is of Indian Oil, which is trading at 272 target will be around 325 with a stop loss of 250.





Last chart is of GAIL which is trading at around 364, stop loss of 335 and target of 425






Summary:-
Oil and gas sector is poised for a breakout. Buy HPCL, IOCL, ONGC and GAIL at cmp for a 25% upside.

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